
If Oracle CEO Larry Ellison doesn't introduce Oracle Linux during his keynote speech at Oracle OpenWorld today it could make it the most disappointing presentation since Sun and Google's non-announcement.
Rumours of Oracle's entry into the Linux distribution market have been rife since Ellison suggested its potential in an interview with the FT. Investment firm Jefferies and Co recently stoked the fires prompting a Red Hat share slump.
The rumor mill now indicates that Ellison will make the announcement during his keynote at 1pm Pacific time, although reports also indicate that the announcement has the potential to fail to live up to expectations. Is Oracle simply going to rehash its existing Unbreakable Linux story?
Valleywag claims to have the scoop on the announcement while Enterprise Open Source suggests it will be non-competitive to Red Hat and Red Herring suggests that Oracle might not introduce a new operating system at all.
“Based on our conversations with Oracle executives at the user conference, we believe CEO Ellison is likely to talk about ‘Unbreakable Linux’ on Wednesday,” Red Herring quotes from a research note by Merrill Lynch analyst Kash Rangan. “Oracle is working to enhance the security of the Linux kernel and contribute to the open source community [and] it will not create a new Linux distribution intended to be competitive with Red Hat/Novell,” Rangan added.
So the whole thing could be a damp squib then? Well yes, when you consider the hype there has been about Oracle "entering" the Linux business. Oracle already provides support for Linux, albeit sharing responsibility for its database, middleware and applications running on Red Hat and Novell SUSE with those vendors.
The predicted relationship with the Ubuntu distribution makes sense given its technological maturity but commercial immaturity. Oracle wouldn't have to share support responsibilities with anyone, and could tune the operating system to to meet the requirements of its software, potentially in the form of a soft appliance.
Given that Oracle would have the opportunity to lock the operating system down and tune it, the company would be in a better position to declare it "unbreakable". So that's my prediction: not a new distribution per se, but a new Ubuntu-based "Unbreakable" configuration.
Let's see...