
Seems the big debate in the 'blogosphere' right now centres on whether corporate blogs generate a return on their investment, or whether they are little more than a cost centre.
Werner Vogels, the CTO of Amazon, apparently gave Shel Israel and Robert Scoble - authors of Naked Conversations, How Blogs are Changing the Way Businesses Talk with Customers - a hard time when they dropped by at Amazon to evangelise the value of corporate blogs. Vogels wanted hard and fast metrics to back up their arguments, and he felt they couldn't give them to him.
But if one was to try and count the quantitative side, where would one start? I confess maths was among my worst subjects at school, but I had a go at a simple equation to see if I could calculate the ROI of a corporate blog.
It's dead easy, as long as the site carries advertising. Sadly few corporate blog sites do, so I had to come up with a second equation that takes into account the opportunity cost of lead generation, but more on that later.
Anyway for sites with advertising, that don't tend to generate many useful leads for the marketing department, I came up with BVIa - for Blog Value Index a. It's a simple equation to work out in quantitative terms whether the blog is paying for itself or costing the company money.
If you pump your figures into the equation and the BVI comes out at less than one, then the blog is costing the company money, and if the index comes out greater than one, it's generating profit. In all these equations I assume the cost of blog software and hosting and the like is zero - it's not expensive and usually covered under a company's other hosting costs anyway.
Here's the equation:
BVIa =
adh (aay/1,000)
---------------
abt x ehw
If you look at the graphic, you'll see that you need to know how many hits the blog gets per day (average daily hits or adh); and the average advertising yield for web adverts alongside the blog (aay). To work out the cost of the blog you need abt, which is the average number of hours spent per day blogging, and ehw, which is the employee hourly wage of the blogger.
Let's try it. An employee paid $50,000 per annum spends 2 hours per day blogging. Their blog generates 4,000 hits per day and they can sell advertising alongside the blog at a rate of $30 per thousand impressions. The equation looks something like this:
4,000(30/1,000)
-----------------
2 x 24
The top line is hits times advertising yield, and the bottom line is 2 hours at a wage of $24 per hour. Work it out and you get:
120
---
48
..or a BVI of 2.5. Remember a BVI above 1 means the blog is paying for itself, so this particular blog is easily paying for itself.
Let's do it for Sun COO Jonathan Schwartz's famous blog, which I'm told generates around 4,000 hits per day. Their latest 10k filing with the SEC showed his annual salary was $900,000 per year excluding bonuses. Let's assume that Sun did have advertising alongside his blog, and that they could sell those adverts for around $30 per thousand impressions. Let's assume he spends an hour and a half a day on his blog. The equation looks like this:
4,000(30/1,000)
---------------
1.5 x $432.69
I calculated his average hourly wage by dividing his salary by 52 weeks, then into 5-day chunks, then 8 hour days. He probably works longer hours, but what the hell.
Anyway start the equation and you get this:
120
---
649
which gives a BVI result of 0.18, which means that his blog is a total waste of time. So sorry Jonathan, but perhaps you should knock it on the head.
Of course, most corporate blogs do not carry paid advertising, so it's a bit of a moot point. However if you know from traffic analysis that a blog helps with a certain amount of lead generation, then you can use another equation - as long as you know how much it costs your marketing department to generate a typical lead without the help of the blog.
I called this second equation BVIb, or Blog Value Index b. It takes into account the value of leads generated. It looks like this:
BVIb =
adl x algc
----------
abt x ehw
Where adl is average daily leads generated by the blog, and algc is the average lead generation cost typically experienced by the marketing department without the help of the blog.
In other words, if it costs your marketing department on average $100 to get one decent lead, and you know that 25 people a day leave their details somewhere on the Sun site after visiting Jonathan's blog, then you can use the equation like so:
25 x 100
-------------
1.5 x $432.69
or
2,500
-----
649
or a BVIb of 3.85. Going on this basis, you can see that suddenly Jonathan's blog seems far more worthwhile. Indeed it is a very valuable asset. So you'd better get it up and running again, Jonathan.
If you know the blog yields advertising revenue and generates leads, then you're even more likely to be sitting on an ROI-positive asset. The equation combining BVIa and BVIb looks like this:
BVIc =
(adh x aay / 1000) + (adl x algc)
----------------------------------
abt x ehw
Let's pretend Jonathan's blog has paid for adverts alongside it (it doesn't), and also generates 25 decent leads a day that would have cost your marketing department $2,500 to generate. The equation looks like this:
120 + 2,500
-----------
649
or a BVIb of 4.03. Profit, profit, profit!
Of course as Dennis Howlett notes, there is more to blogging than quantitative benefit. There is the good it can do to your corporate brand, customer loyalty, partnerships and so on. All of these are far harder to calculate, granted. But if you want a quick and dirty answer to the question of whether your corporate blog is covering its costs, just plug the figures into BVIa or BVIb and see what happens.
Interestingly, you'll notice from both BVIa, BVIb and the combined BVIc that the lower the blogger's average hourly salary, the more likely the blog is to pay for itself - just see what Jonathan's $900,000 salary does to his BVIa: ouch! So while today's corporate bloggers are often the big cheeses, it may actually be more profitable for the company to get more junior members of staff blogging instead, if they are able to generate a similar number of hits and leads. Just a thought.
UPDATE: GhostBlogger over here says I did an admirable job with my algebra but argues that ROI has got to include intangibles as well as tangibles. Trouble is, how do you put metrics on intangibles - that line of thinking is going to take us right back to the Werner vs. Israel and Scoble argument that we started with. My intention was to see if you could put metrics on the value of a blog. If it's intangible it's not going to have a number to punch into the equation, right?
UPDATE 2: Jeremy Ballenger is kind enough to say that "Stamper’s approach is an excellent place to start" in a posting here. I like the dog, by the way. Ballenger also notes that some of the harder-to-quantify measures like reputation are omitted from the equations, but I come back to my point that it would be hard to say to what extent the public's perception of your corporate brand is down to one (or more) of its blogs, versus its customer service, advertising etc etc.
UPDATE 3: James Governor has some sage comments on the whole ROI debate, noting: "Ask not what a blog can do for your corporate bottom line, but what it can do for you. If it scales you, and you're already effective, then its also scaling business effectiveness. Blogging creates opportunites to geometrically scale I... All (or just almost all?) successful Global Microbrands are indelibly associated with people. It's people, not infrastructures, that can now scale in fairly unprecedented ways. Blogging is a part of that phenomenon."
Excellent stuff Jason!
At the risk of being seen as someone who only wants numbers: this is very powerful. And I believe an hour per post (if you want to do it right) is low, with all the follow-up, etc.
Thanks for the below comments - I started to jot down some ideas about quantifying the value of a corporate blog and it seems there may actually be some real value in this line of thinking. I'll give it some more thought over the next few days and see if I can't refine the models to include other metrics that are related. If anyone has any input to improve the indexes, feel free to chime in.
Blogging has so many functions that trying to get an overall Blogging ROI doesn't work.
Most business blogs shouldn't sell advertising, but they can look at actual business generated.
You just have to think smaller, as in each industry. For something like recruiting, you can calculate the money he made from blogging by counting the number of placements versus time.
A mortgage company could track its leads, and a car dealer could track the number of cars.
In each case, solid numbers tell the tale, but a sad truth remains. The time spent blogging does not guarantee those numbers, and if pure production is what we were looking at, cold-calls would have served the business better as a reflection of the company's time.
This is why proponents of blogging are so anti-ROI - we know that the numbers don't and won't add up for number crunchers.
Rather, blogging is a Quality of work and quality of work-life issue. Bloggers bring in information cheaply from their connection to online communities. They work great as focus groups, competitive intelligence researchers, and branding operatives.
Measuring the value an empployee blogger brings to the business is a better way of approaching business blogging.
After all, the question of whether blogging has value is usually phrased in a manner to ask a different question, "Are you wasting time?"
Great post. I linked to it on my blog this morning
Thanks for the mention Jason. My point on perception and reputation is relative. I came at this discussion from perspective of putting some rigour into things in a general management vein - I'm not an accountant.
Thing is though, as many have noted we are talking about a number of intangibles. Hard to measure.
But accountants and CxO's themselves have on occasion been known to list brand equity on a balance sheet, something that is arguably close to the very definition of intangible.
Either way, despite claims to the contrary discussion of ROI for business blogging is an inevitable and necessary 'evil', and contributions like yours go a long way to demystifying things for those who are considering taking the plunge. Hat's off to you.
Jason, this feels very odd, but after 20 years of doing the exact kind of calculations you describe above to prove the value of all forms of PR, media, sponsorship, etc etc. I have to take issue with your approach. Not that it isn't a good one, or that there's anything wrong with the math. But on this point, I have to agree with Shel Israel of Naked Conversation fame who may or may not have said "Do you really need measure the ROI of your pants?" In many many cases, blogging is a no-brainer because it helps you listen to your customers, gives you more google juice, and enhances your business in dozens of ways that are no where in your calculations. If the purpose of your blogging is to generate leads, you've missed the point. The purpose is to engage in conversations, listen to your marketplace, and work smarter as a result.
This quite an interesting post. Nevertheless, I wonder if advertising impressions can be used to determine the value of a CEO blog. For instance, if 3,000 Wall Street analysts read Jonathan Schwartz's blog what does this mean?
According to the above example it could be that based on the quality content provided on the blog, analysts may revise their rating of the stock. You can imagine that an increase in Sun's stock price will offset Jonathan's salary several times over. Second, it will make investors very happy indeed.
It is not just a numbers game. It is also who reads such a blog and how does it possibly affect their decision-making.
Finally, a big part of a CEO's job is to communicate. Doing it through a blog could be an effective way. For instance, if a news service refers to a blog post, the multiplier effect is quite extensive.
Hence, addressing opportunity costs is important. Nevertheless, a cost-benefit analysis has to go beyond offsetting a CEO blog's value against possible advertising leads and so on as suggested in your post.
As well, measuring amount of traffic and visitors is the first step but we should go beyond:
popularity and crowdscoring -- http://howto.commetrics.com/?page_id=16
Calculating ROI for a CEO's blog is difficult to measure. Nevertheless, you made a nice start, now let us move on and beyond your interesting first steps. Thanks this is helpful.